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  1. On September 30, 2026, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released real GDP data for all US states for the second quarter of 2026.

  2. The takeaway When you hear commentary on the federal government’s financial situation, the information is often based on the money flowing into and out of the Treasury general account.

  3. The takeaway A new dataset in FRED provides the monthly probability the US economy is in recession.

  4. In a previous FRED Blog post, we discussed the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) released by the FOMC this past June.

  5. The takeaway The Kansas City Fed uses options prices to measure how financial markets perceive the balance of risks for future short-term interest rates: a.k.a., the KC Policy Rate Skew.

  6. The takeaway The Fed’s monetary aggregates measure the amount of money in the economy.

  7. The takeaway The New York Fed’s consumer credit dataset is now calculated with a different methodology—one that includes 33 million more borrowers than before.

  8. The takeaway Measures of household financial well-being don’t always align with consumer sentiment.

  9. The takeaway The most recent measure of the cost of owning a home (vs. renting a home) remains near historical peaks, suggesting renting today is a relatively better financial choice for housing.

  10. The takeaway More workers are using generative AI tools, using them more often, and saving more time because of them, according to new survey data in FRED.