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  1. Why you will never find your blind spot by looking for it A boss of mine, back when I was new to the security business, had a line he used whenever someone got too pleased with themselves.

  2. ISO 31000 provides one of the most widely recognised frameworks for managing risk.

  3. ALARP is one of the fundamental principles of risk management.

  4. Turning analysis into court-ready material — Part 3 of 3 If you haven’t read the previous articles, please start with the first in the series or go to the second article if you have read the first.

  5. How the Structured Evidence Analysis Matrix works — Part 2 of 3 If you haven’t read the previous article, please read this one first.

  6. When Both Stories Fit the Facts

    A case study in structured evidence analysis — Part 1 of 3 This is the first article in a three-part series introducing the Structured Evidence Analysis Matrix (SEAM), a method I developed for testing competing accounts against the documentary record in c…

  7. When an accident is serious, tragic, and technically complex, the hardest task is often not collecting information, but making sense of competing explanations.

  8. For more insights into ACH & related topics, click here.

  9. When people hear the phrase risk assessment, they often imagine a spreadsheet, a heat map, or a list of obvious hazards ranked from red to green.

  10. Following on from my previous post, Risk Communication Issues, if we want to understand why otherwise knowledgeable health professionals...

  11. On July 21, 2021, President Joe Biden said during a CNN town hall, “ You’re not going to get COVID if you have these vaccinations . ” I...

  12. The Stroud Matrix (2024)

    Risk is complicated, right?

  13. How to write a non-fiction book

    It has taken me 20 years to work out the process for writing and publishing quality books.

  14. Artificial intelligence risks are not technological or ethical issues but are fundamentally driven by species-level evolutionary survival...

  15. Swans Of All Colors

    In the 21st century, the era of artificial intelligence and genetic engineering, we should expect to encounter ‘swans’ of all shapes,...

  16. The advice to "trust your gut" is often given as a standalone solution to complex decisions.

  17. The All Opportunities Approach

    We've heard of the all hazards approach to risk management.

  18. Consequence Calibration Matrix

    Human beings have great difficulty in making accurate judgments under uncertainty.

  19. The ISO31000 definition of risk (the effect of uncertainty on objectives) includes both positive and negative outcomes.

  20. SWOT Analysis

    A SWOT analysis, standing for Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats, is a strategic planning tool that can be crucial for...