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Date notwithstanding
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The fastest YC company to $100M and the evolving metagame for elite startups
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Onwards
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Connecting the invisible dots
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Inspired by Scale of the Universe
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Legibility creates velocity
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Scaling new blogs and alleviating blog decay
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Decline or diffusion?
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Solve for the ___
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17 observations on habits, personalities, and worldviews
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On cultural polish and care
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Understanding YouTube's Platform Mechanics, Content Dynamics, Talent, and Market Structure
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6 anecdotal explanations
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5 explanations
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messages from a typewriter
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AI is communist, prediction markets are libertarian
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Why intent-based aggregators will dominate retail prediction market volume
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Problems and potential design solutions for market interfaces
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The Wikipedia model
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Context is that which is scarce
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7 explanations
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Priority batch auctions as one better market structure to create more liquid prediction markets
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15 million free riders and counting
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Productized scapegoating
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38 observations
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The Structure, Incentives, and Negative Externalities of “You Can Just Do Things”
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21 assorted thoughts on derivative levels
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Third derivative work
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12 observations and opinions on financial markets
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Exchanges and brokerages from first principles
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Path-dependency protects us from ourselves
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Save us, Sumner
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The best way to predict the future is to build it
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How novel titles reshape talent allocation
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12 learnings and takeaways
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The strongest counterarguments against increasingly popular beliefs
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Thank you for increasing my blogging ambitions
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The market structure and incentives of US sports leagues
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Investing in Anthropic, Cursor, Figma, Circle, Solana, Sui by breaking the rules
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16 observations on hospital culture and incentives
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Great work always finds the people who matter
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Work harder, bet bigger
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For many parents, hyper-optimization is the preferred method for brute-forcing their children out of mediocrity.
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No One is Really Working: Justifying the High Salaries of Early-Career Professionals
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Clinton Foreign Policy, $TRUMP and $MELANIA, and the Foundations of the Internet
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Nonlinear Perception of Time