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  1. This is quick jot-down of experiment results.

  2. I started this essay to investigate where reasoning came from, and I ended it caring about model welfare.

  3. Reasoning is dual-use: It’s that which allows safety researchers to accelerate alignment; it’s also that which allows misaligned AI to take control.

  4. I learned that I don’t want to build another business in an area where I lack domain expertise.

  5. Frontier models will continue scaling, and combined with training innovation they’ll become significantly more useful even than they are today.

  6. [This is a quick un-edited jot-down.]

  7. A couple days ago I was watching my non computer scientist wife train a machine learning model on her astrophysics work, and I felt the acceleration.

  8. [Edit 2026-06-14: When writing this essay I was still unfamiliar with academic computational game theory and its terms.

  9. Epistemic confidence: 60%.