AI and other ramblings

The efficient organizational unit in the agent era is n=1.

There's a simple question that tells you whether you can trust an LLM for a task: Can you close the loop?

LLMs don't do real causal inference.

Last time I covered the research on whether transformers can learn causal structure: Part 1: The theoretical and empirical case that they can Part 2: The reality check — their world models are less coherent than they appear Now the practical question: what

Last time I covered two papers showing transformers can learn causal structure — both theoretically and empirically.

Last time I wrote about whether transformers can escape the Lucas Critique — the idea that models trained on historical correlations fail when policy changes the underlying system.

In 1976, Robert Lucas wrote a paper that broke macroeconomics.