musings and rough drafts

This is an essay that I wrote to a colleague at Palisade, articulating why I feel unsatisfied with goals and projects that others on the team (on average) feel more enthusiastic about.

I think you shouldn’t eat factory farmed animal products (modulo some caveats).

(As opposed to wanting altruistically) General 1.2 to 3 million dollars.

Dean Ball writes, in his post subtitled “why I am not a doomer”, that the blocker to AI takeover risk is computational irreducibility.

It seems like Bryan and Matt are mostly talking past each other.

[Edit: I this post was based on a factual error.

Will Automating AI R&D not work for some reason, or will it not lead to vastly superhuman superintelligence within 2 years of “~100% automation” for some reason?

If most failures of rationality are adaptively self-serving motivated reasoning, choosing to be an aspiring rationalist is basically aspiring to a kind of self-hobbling.

[crossposted from LessWrong] Recently, I spent a couple of hours talking with a friend about the state of the evidence for AI takeover scenarios.

I’m choosing to be an aspiring rationalist.