Masa's Blog

I came across a Japanese YouTube about screw compressors.

For most of the 20th century, advanced societies became increasingly good at finding intelligent people and giving them important things to do.

When we talk about new media, we usually ask the wrong question.

The decisive struggle is often not capital versus labor.

Territorial empires disappeared.

I started thinking about this after watching Jaadugar: A Witch in Mongolia.

Cheap AI, solar power, drones, and private networks may create resilient low-state societies—while ordinary modern countries become the most vulnerable places on Earth The most vulnerable country in 2050 may not be the poorest.

A useful starting point is Wheat Waffles’ 2022 video “40 Differences in Treatment Between a Sub5, Normie & Chad,” which has been viewed more than 1.1 million times.

The real competition is not Germany versus China.

Why some of the people best equipped to build the next world can look strangely unimpressive while the current one is still winning.

A rough historical model suggests that the chance of a catastrophic domestic conflict over the next 50 years may be closer to 50% than 5%.

Japan did not defeat the Soviet Union.

Why China’s 2020s may resemble Korea’s 2010s—and why the 2030s could feel very different There is a particular national mood that appears near the end of a long ascent.

The end of the China shock could produce an American capitalism almost opposite to the one we have known since 1980 For most of the last forty years, American capitalism has seemed to move in one direction.

The China shock may not shrink the American empire.

A thought experiment about China’s burden, a richer Muslim world, and why the 2060 map may look nothing like today’s consensus Here is a thought experiment.

If you had to choose where your family would live for the next 30 years, what could you actually know in advance?