Marginal REVOLUTION

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The Marginal Revolution archive is now live at https://marginalrevolution.com/ai-archive/.

From the Archive–these posts are written by AI.

It would take true Milei-like ardour to slice through Brazil’s economic troubles.

More likely than interference with the election is that unsuccessful office-seekers will refuse to concede, claiming their opponents cheated.

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The Panic Patrol, a division of the department of future corrections, reminds us of past panics.

We produce a numerical estimate of the value of unpaid breastfeeding relative to national income spanning five centuries and integrating historical and bioarchaeological data.

How leaders allocate their limited time and attention is an important question in economics.

Zahan Turel, a backend engineer and eighth-generation Zoroastrian priest from Surat, received a grant to digitize his community’s manuscripts and liturgical records before they are lost.

From Jason Furman, it tracks economic indicators, mostly U.S.

Here’s the first part of my theory: cybercriminals are not the organized geniuses we implicitly imagine.

Joe Weisenthal: “The Red Line is the day that Anthropic introduced Mythos” The post Cybersecurity ETF appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

Here is the audio, video, and transcript.

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No surprise to me but a new paper looks at the forecast accuracy of over one million prediction questions from Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and the forecasting platform Metaculus.

Max Doppelt: In January 2025 my mom’s lung cancer spread to her brain.

Here is their episode summary: Economist Tyler Cowen joins David Wolpe for a conversation about AI, religion, and what makes us human.

From Jesús Fernández-Villaverde: Will AI poison the public finances of many modern states?

What happens across generations to wealth shocks?

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If you are teaching economics Modern Principles is the book to use!

At some point AI will be more regulated than it is today.

Using a stacked difference-in-differences design covering shootings between 1990 and 2025, I compare cohorts at affected universities before and after the shooting with cohorts at matched control universities.

The Free Press asked me to expand upon my views of this matter, here is one excerpt from the piece: Third, fewer women in prison does not have to mean less deterrence overall, as arguably we should concentrate more of our legal resources on deterring viol…

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Of course I read to absorb the content, but I also am in a position to meet many authors, have contact with them, and spend time with them.

Globalization is once again better than many people realize: We study the role of foreign ideas in U.S. innovation by constructing a directed “genealogy” of technologies from the full text of 13 million patents filed between 1887 and 2024.

From Jesús Fernández-Villaverde: When machines can perform a growing share of tasks, growth depends on two margins: how the task structure affects the returns to accumulating machines, and how strongly capital accumulation responds to those returns.

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Immigration affects natives through both labor markets and public budgets, yet these channels are usually studied separately.

Every now and then I will write a piece on food for Works in Progress.

This paper examines the revenue and migration impact of the 2026 California Billionaire Tax Act, a one-time 5 percent tax on the worldwide net worth of individuals exceeding $1 billion.

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Based on charts like the one at right, Paul Krugman and many others are arguing that: Massive spending on data centers is crowding out investment in everything else in the economy.

David Stuart, The Four Heavens: A New History of the Ancient Maya.

You will find it here, with transcript.

Here is the link.

A key U.S. government report on mental health, substance use and addiction showed continued improvements in several metrics, especially among young people.

Here is the link, here is the end bit: Who is the most important thinker of our time?

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By Anton Korinek, Charles I.

The IMF dropped the lead candidate to become its new chief economist at the eleventh hour after he was found to have made critical remarks about the Trump administration’s economic policies, according to people briefed on the process.

Here is the audio, video, and transcript.

Yes I will be doing a podcast with him.

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A spot of good news for Britain.

In 2015, 6 of the top 25 bestselling hardcover books—this is a not-perfect but useful proxy for new books published—were fiction.

That is the topic of my latest Free Press column, here is one excerpt: …college is a great place to make friends, date, and possibly meet a spouse.

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