Field Notes — League Donation

2025 regular season · value per dropback +0.12, 14th of 32 qualified passers · standard dropbacks +0.17, 7th of 33 · 674 dropbacks, the most of any passer · clean pocket +0.21, 22nd of 31 3,931 yards, 25 touchdowns, 11 interceptions · 95% of completion va…

2025 · value per target +0.55, 7th of 71 qualified WR/TE · touchdowns removed, +0.33, 9th · first downs on 48% of targets, 7th 90.2% of snaps across all 17 games · 18.5% target share, the pool median almost to the decimal · 6.0 targets a game 1,117 yards ·

JJ Bleday is the hundred-and-ninety-second-ranked player in fantasy baseball, and by the quality of his contact he is hitting like a top-ten-percent bat.

2025 EPA/dropback: 2nd of 36 (0.26) · clean-pocket EPA 2nd · CPOE 5th The climb, year by year: +0.14 (2023, 5th) · +0.16 (2024, 11th) · +0.26 (2025, 2nd) 32 dropbacks per game (Maye 35, Goff 36) · 3rd of 36 on standard dropbacks, no play-action / screen /…

Buffalo pass rate over expected · +4.4 (2021) → +6.1 (2022, 3rd) → +0.4 → −2.0 → −3.5 (2025) · EPA/play 0.136 (3rd, NFL) Allen · att/G 38.0 → 28.8 · aDOT 8.6 → 7.1 · CPOE −1.4 → +1.5 · sacks 14 → 40 · 14 rush TD, 11 inside the 5 Cook · carries 89 → 237 →…

2024 rookie · 116 tgt · 885 yds · 8 TD · separation 2.05 (lowest of 59 qualified WRs) 2025 · 12 G · 73 tgt · 608 yds · 4 TD · separation 2.42 · catch% 56 · aDOT 13.6 Same offense · Trey McBride: 169 tgt · 1,239 yds · 11 TD · separation 3.06 · catch% 75 Ma…

12 GS · 79.1 IP · 1.47 ERA · xERA 2.88 · FIP 1.81 · xFIP 2.29 · WAR 3.3 · 6-2 · NL ERA leader 95 K · K% 29.4 · BB% 5.0 · K-BB% 24.5 · HR/9 0.34 · GB% 57.6 · BABIP .337 · LOB% 83.9 Sinker 95.0 mph (43%) · Changeup 86.5 (38%) · Slider 85.7 (19%) · Extension…

n 184 QB-pair seasons · 300+ att both years · 2016–2025 r 0.375 · median swing 2.12 pts · mean swing 2.53 pts 21 pairs swung 5+ pts (11%) · largest +8.24 (Allen 2020) / −8.94 (Dalton 2017) Drake Maye finished 2025 at +9.14 CPOE.

46 G · 208 PA · .238/.399/.482 · 11 HR · xBA .257 / xSLG .586 / xwOBA .422 EV 91.9 · Barrel 22.7% · Hard-Hit 51.4% · K% 25.5 · BB% 19.7 · BABIP .280 Bat Speed 75.2 mph · Fast Swing% 53.1 · Chase% 18.5 Mike Trout is hitting .238.

17 G · 568 att · 330 cmp · 3,942 yds · 27 TD · 7 INT · 90.1 rtg CPOE −6.87 · EPA +44.0 · aDOT 8.4 · TTT 3.20s · Sacks 24 Caleb Williams took twenty-four sacks in 2025, down from sixty-eight as a rookie.

A rookie’s first month of major-league baseball is the one stretch in his career where the contact data is the only signal that matters.

17 G · 492 att · 354 cmp · 4,394 yds · 31 TD · 8 INT · 113.5 rtg CPOE +9.14 · EPA +165.2 · aDOT 9.1 · TTT 2.97s · Sacks 47 Drake Maye held the ball 2.97 seconds before throwing in 2025.

5 GS · 36.0 IP · 1.25 ERA · xERA 4.23 · 0 HR K% 10.5 · Whiff 12.5% · BB/9 2.50 · WHIP 1.00 · 5-0 Justin Wrobleski threw six shutout innings against the Cardinals on May 3.

7 GS · 41.2 IP · 1.51 ERA · xERA 2.39 · K/BB 8.17 K/9 10.58 · BB/9 1.30 · WHIP 0.74 · 4-1 Cam Schlittler throws three fastballs.

127 PA · .248 / .325 / .284 · xSLG .417 · wOBA .281 / xwOBA .358 EV 94.5 mph · Barrel 12.7% · Hard-Hit 67.1% · 0 HR Through 29 games, Fernando Tatis Jr. has the highest hard-hit rate in baseball.

Justin Jefferson generated more separation in 2025 than he has in three years.

In 2025, a tight end in the bottom quarter of separation at his position averaged 2.78 yards of space at the catch point.

Pete Fairbanks has issued one walk in eight innings.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is batting .068.

Saquon Barkley rushed for 1,140 yards in 2025 and produced the largest year-over-year rush EPA collapse at the position since the current EPA model was implemented in 2020.

57 PA · .314 / .386 / .706 · wOBA .462 / xwOBA .483 EV 97.9 mph · Barrel 26.5% · Hard-Hit 70.6% · 6 HR Contact quality in Jordan Walker’s first 12 plate appearances can tell you a direction.

49 PA · .391 / .435 / .381 · xBA .290 · xSLG .327 · xwOBA .298 EV 80.6 mph · Barrel 0.0% · Hard-Hit 15.9% · K% 4.1% Chandler Simpson has forty-nine plate appearances, zero barrels, and an average exit velocity of 80.6 miles per hour.

Most fantasy football rankings for 2026 will be built from 2025 full-season averages, because full-season averages are the easiest number to pull.

3/27 vs COL: 7.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 5 K, 73 P · W 2-1 4/01 vs CHW: 9.0 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 7 K, 93 P · W 10-0 Season: 16.0 IP, 7 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 12 K · 0.00 ERA, 0.56 WHIP · xERA 1.43 · xwOBA .187 Sandy Alcantara threw a complete game shutout against the

Week One Liars caught pitchers whose Statcast profiles disagreed with their box scores.

One start.

The barrel rate moves first.

A hitter’s batting average tells you what happened.

Ranked lists sell certainty.

Every pitcher in baseball has two stat lines.

On the page, a roster is a list of names.

The best team in a fantasy league is often the one that read what the numbers were measuring, not the one with the most talent.