Kerrick Staley

I made an LLM agent micro-eval where I asked the agent to compute the square footage of an apartment given a floor plan of the apartment.

Frontier LLMs like GPT-5.3-Codex, Gemini 3.1 Pro, and Claude Opus 4.6 have spiky capabilities, performing several stddevs above median human performance at some tasks while failing at some “easy” ones.

The law of total variance states that for two random variables \(X\) and \(Y\), \[\mathrm{Var}(Y) = E[\mathrm{Var}(Y | X)] + \mathrm{Var}(E[Y | X])\] If \(Y\) is a mixture of distributions, this tells you that \(\mathrm{Var}(Y)\) is the mean variance of t…

Matt Levine once wrote: money is a social construct, a way to keep track of what society thinks you deserve in terms of goods and services That is: Bob makes me a sandwich.

I have a thought experiment I do when I’m uncertain about a life decision: I imagine I have 100 replicas of myself that I could send off into the world to explore the branching life paths I could take.

I use a system I call homegit to manage config files and scripts in my home directory on all my machines.

Mid-morning last Sunday, I took a PATH train from Hoboken station to Christopher Street station en route to a coffee shop to hack on projects with a friend.

I live in Jersey City and many of my days start with a short commute into New York City on the PATH train.

In May 2017, I sat and passed the Hanyu Shuiping Kaoshi Level 4.

I’ve been watching the Chinese TV show 他来了，请闭眼 (Love Me If You Dare).