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The empires that mastered sovereign debt became more powerful.
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Most conversations about creativity begin too late — with the idea, not the system.
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Between 2026 and 2029, AI systems stop being finished artifacts and become systems in motion.
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AI agent collectives and human Superforecasters represent the leading edge of structured probabilistic forecasting.
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The verbatim conversation between John Brennan and Grok (xAI) that named the project — tracing a thread from monologue to captain's log to HAL to change log, and landing on a portmanteau that was hiding in plain sight.
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A live case study in which Claude Opus 4.6 attempted to read three websites — johnbrennan.xyz, agentweekly.ai, and aitoonup.com — revealing which design patterns make content visible to AI agents and which leave sites completely dark.
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The firm is adding a second class of worker: the agentic employee.
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Two new words for the epistemic risks of the AI era.
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Occupational churn is at historic lows, not historic highs.
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The transition to orbital compute is an energy and thermodynamics problem.
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How a million satellites could rewire launch, cloud computing, and global power — applying the Foresee, Forecast, Alert, and Warn framework to space-based data centers.
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Before artificial intelligence there was intelligence.
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A look back at technology forecasts made in 2010, checking the progress of computing costs from supercomputers to cloud TPUs.
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An examination of how intelligence organizations can better identify and leverage unconventional ideas.