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Articole: 94
  1. VNM, separability, and more

    Third essay in a four-part series on expected utility maximization (EUM).

  2. Why it can be OK to predictably lose

    This is the second essay in a four-part series on expected utility maximization (EUM).

  3. Skyscrapers and madmen

    This is the first essay in a four part series on expected utility maximization (EUM).

  4. Simulation arguments

    Examination of various arguments that we should assign significant probability to living in a computer simulation.

  5. On infinite ethics

    Infinities puncture the dream of a simple, bullet-biting utilitarianism.

  6. The ignorance of normative realism bot

    This essay lays out what I see as the strongest objection to normative realism: namely, that it leaves us without the right type of epistemic access to the normative facts it posits.

  7. Morality and constrained maximization, part 2

    Second in a two-part series on whether morality falls out of instrumental rationality, if you do the game theory right.

  8. Morality and constrained maximization, part 1

    First in a two-part series about whether morality falls out instrumental rationality, if you do the game-theory right.

  9. Anthropics and the Universal Distribution

    Essay on whether a certain sort of prior helps resolve tough questions in anthropics.

  10. On the Universal Distribution

    Essay examining a certain sort of fundamental prior, called the “Universal Distribution.”

  11. Learning from the fact that you exist

    This is the first essay in a four-part series explaining why I think one prominent approach to anthropic reasoning (the “Self-Indication Assumption” or “SIA”) is better than another (the “Self-Sampling Assumption” or “SSA”).

  12. This essay is the second in a four-part series, explaining why I think that one prominent approach to anthropic reasoning (the “Self-Indication Assumption” or “SIA”) is better than another (the “Self-Sampling Assumption” or “SSA”).

  13. An aside on betting in anthropics

    This essay is the third in a four-part series, explaining why I think that one prominent approach to anthropic reasoning (the “Self-Indication Assumption” or “SIA”) is better than another (the “Self-Sampling Assumption” or “SSA”).

  14. In defense of the presumptuous philosopher

    Final essay in a four-part series, explaining why I think that one prominent approach to anthropic reasoning (the “Self-Indication Assumption” or “SIA”) is better than another (the “Self-Sampling Assumption” or “SSA”).

  15. Can you control the past?

    I think that you can “control” events you have no causal interaction with, including events in the past, and that this is a wild and disorienting fact, with uncertain but possibly significant implications.

  16. What is altruism towards a paperclipper?

  17. On the limits of idealized values

    Contra some meta-ethical views, you can’t forever aim to approximate the self you would become in idealized conditions.

  18. Problems of evil

    Is everything holy?

  19. The innocent gene

    Richard Dawkins imagines genes as selfish agents.

  20. The importance of how you weigh it

    Much of normative ethics centers on which considerations matter, and why.

  21. An intuition pump for a certain kind of “holy sh**” reaction to existential risk, and to the possible size and quality of the future at stake.

  22. Against neutrality about creating happy lives

    Making happy people is good.

  23. Care and demandingness

    We wouldn’t expect prudence to be “not demanding.”

  24. Subjectivism and moral authority

    Reflections on the sense in which subjectivism about meta-ethics deprives morality of authority.

  25. Two types of deference

    Two different ways of thinking about the epistemic position of future people: better informed about questions we ask using today’s concepts, vs. incomprehensible.

  26. Contact with reality

    If God were playing a concert, would you take some hit to your overall pleasure in order to go?

  27. Killing the ants

    If you kill something, look it in the eyes as you do.

  28. Believing in things you cannot see

    Lots of ethical life, especially in a big world, rests on the ability to treat things you can’t see as real.

  29. On clinging

    How can “non-attachment” be compatible with care?

  30. Actually possible: thoughts on Utopia

    There are oceans we have barely dipped a toe into.

  31. Shouldn’t it matter to the victim?

    Shouldn’t deontological distinctions between types of harm reflect something that matters *to* the potential victims of that harm?

  32. The despair of normative realism bot

    We don’t need non-natural normative facts to tell us what to do.

  33. A ghost

    On a thought experiment I find useful in thinking about what to do.

  34. Can what you should do hold no appeal whatsoever?

  35. Reimagining Peter Singer’s drowning child from the perspective of care rather than guilt.

  36. Thoughts on being mortal

    You can’t keep any of it.

  37. Grokking illusionism

    Trying to see through the eyes of people who think consciousness is an illusion.

  38. The impact merge

    Against hitching together your desire to accomplish things and your desire to do good.

  39. Thoughts on personal identity

    On living in a glass tunnel, and on open air.

  40. How core is confusion about consciousness?

    If we’re confused about consciousness, what else are we confused about?

  41. To light a candle

    In my last post, I wrote about an ethos expressed in A Wizard of Earthsea — an ethos that I find deeply resonant, but that I also think worth some scrutiny.

  42. The gestures of trees

    Recently I read Ursula K.

  43. Mistaking the plot

    I started reading The Guns of August, Barbara Tuchman’s account of the beginning of World War I.

  44. Report for Open Philanthropy on the computational power sufficient to match the human brain’s task-performance.