Defenses in Depth

Voters frequently vote 'irrationally' for rational reasons: a single vote has very little impact on the outcome.

Persuasion isn't just convincing someone to do one narrow thing: it's finding actions that are in their interest and also benefit you.

This is a linkpost for https://ai-frontiers.org/articles/agi-will-set-off-an-industrial-explosion

Comparing conventional, chemical, nuclear, and biological weapons on cost per death and mass per death puts biological weapons in a class of their own.

Once we have the minds, building bodies capable enough to automate physical labor is not that hard.

Wars happen because states cannot credibly commit to the agreements they would both prefer.

Power is already centralised in the US President and Chinese General Secretary.

This is a linkpost for https://newsletter.forethought.org/p/how-fast-is-post-agi-growth

Nuclear physics allowed the creation of the atomic and hydrogen bombs.

The universe is probably not stable, but intentionally triggering its decay might still be impossible.

What's the cheapest energy system we could plausibly build, and could it keep pace with explosive post-AGI growth?

How much faster could an AI-automated economy grow without inventing new technology?

This series of posts outlines how I think about the most extreme types of risks.

How fast could an AI-automated economy actually start growing?