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  1. I am not an expert in AI, but I have seen a lot of waves software-based productivity innovations in my lifetime, and have developed some intuition as to how fast or slow they can penetrate corporate America.

  2. I saw this while doomscrolling Instagram the other day Pretty sure the tradwife folks are targeting something more like the 1950's than the 19th century, but it could be funny -- though not at funny as, say, sending the housewives of Orange County or the…

  3. I am not going to say I told you so on Iran (in the first days of the conflict here and here} because there is not much reason anyone would trust me on foreign policy.

  4. I am not going to get into some of these more recent twists and turns, but I do want to shatter the mythos that the word "non-profit" is somehow equivalent to "charitable" or "well-intentioned".

  5. I have been recuperating from some health issues and have not been writing much, but I really don't want to miss out on putting my oar in the water prior to the SpaceX IPO.

  6. Oops

    I posted a draft of something I am tinkering with on viral ideas and intellectual immune systems by accident.

  7. I am probably more knowledgeable about 20th century military conflicts than most, so perhaps it is useful to remind everyone of this -- I can think of no country in history that ever capitulated or initiated a favorable regime change in response to air at…

  8. Back in the first heady days of the attacks on Iran I cautioned that it was relatively easy to kill a few leaders and bomb a bunch of stuff, but harder to understand how a liberal democracy was to magically eventuate in Iran.

  9. The Problem in Iran

    I am not going to get into any ethical or legal arguments about the decapitation raids on Iran.

  10. I will preface this post by saying I know exactly zero about AI companies and what they are working on.